关键词: 电力市场运行, 风险因素识别, Fuzzy-Delphi, HFLTS-AHP

Abstract:  Since the publication of electricity reform No. 9, the construction of electric power market has been advanced continuously in our country. The article studies the operation and management of the electricity market from the perspective of risk, and identifies the importance of the operation and management risk of the electricity market. First, the Fuzzy-Delphi is used to screen the indicators of the operational risk of the electricity market and then the evaluation index model is established through HFLTS-AHP, and then the weights of 10 risk indicators are obtained. The importance of the risk management of the electricity market is identified. Finally, the article proposes dynamic management recommendations for the prevention of the risk management of the electricity market. The analysis shows that the imperfect risk level of the market-related system is low and in a controllable state. The risk assessment model points out that the two indicators of “legal and regulatory risks” and “management committee operational effectiveness risks” are at a high risk, and should pay close attention to the above two indicators in the process of functioning.

Key words:

Electricity market operation, risk factor identification, Fuzzy-Delphi, HFLTS-AHP