控制工程 ›› 2019, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (6): 1085-1090.

• 人工智能驱动的自动化 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于FFT优化ResNet模型的短期负荷预测方法

  

  • 出版日期:2019-06-20 发布日期:2023-10-27

Short-Term Load Forecasting Method Based on FFT Optimized Resnet Model

  • Online:2019-06-20 Published:2023-10-27

摘要: 电力行业需要精确的短期电力负荷预测,为电力系统的控制和调度提供精确的负载需求。为提高短期电力负荷预测的精度,提出了一种基于FFT优化ResNet模型的方法。模型首先将电力负荷预测定义为时间序列问题,随后引入一维ResNet进行电力负荷的回归预测,并提出使用FFT优化ResNet,通过对一层卷积结果进行FFT变换,赋予模型提取数据中周期性特征的能力。实验表明,在6 h电力负荷预测中,FFT-ResNet的预测精度优于几种基准模型,说明该方法在电力负荷预测方面具有良好的应用前景。

关键词: 快速傅立叶变换, 残差网络, 短期电力负荷预测, 卷积神经网络, 时间序列

Abstract: Power industry requires accurate short-term load forecasting to provide precise load requirements for power system control and scheduling. In order to improve the accuracy of short-term power load forecasting, a method based on FFT optimized ResNet model is proposed. The model first defines power load forecasting as a time series problem, then introduces one-dimensional ResNet for power load regression prediction, and proposes to use FFT to optimize ResNet, the FFT transform of a layer of convolution results gives the model the ability to extract periodic features in the data. Experiments show that the prediction accuracy of FFT-ResNet is better than several benchmark models in 6-hour power load forecasting, which indicates that this method has a good application prospect in power load forecasting.

Key words: Fast Fourier Transform, residual network, short-term electric load forecasting, convolutional neural network, time series